Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.028900 4.772584 5.645278 6.752919 8.132583 9.809261 12.023753
2024-12-15 3.045640 3.990268 5.245269 7.069490 9.713002 13.501232 19.524848
2024-12-22 2.431371 3.385395 4.753519 6.922178 10.397556 15.982484 26.157816
2024-12-29 2.063096 3.012691 4.459480 6.920353 11.210838 18.825040 34.513587
2025-01-05 1.775286 2.693256 4.162205 6.810921 11.771123 21.370704 43.485267
2025-01-12 1.602130 2.517717 4.051414 6.974458 12.841699 25.221488 57.230843
2025-01-19 1.416148 2.288511 3.804252 6.826230 13.251363 27.841714 69.602988
2025-01-26 1.349733 2.251483 3.885278 7.317878 15.131435 34.532620 97.661972
2025-02-02 1.269925 2.177255 3.882273 7.634734 16.719791 41.228393 131.498886
2025-02-09 1.206374 2.122872 3.906334 8.012469 18.579614 49.591162 179.812416
2025-02-16 1.126149 2.025266 3.827046 8.137864 19.835023 56.831189 232.213946
2025-02-23 1.059287 1.944941 3.770475 8.304267 21.266792 65.486889 303.615139
2025-03-02 0.971659 1.825134 3.639988 8.339576 22.600360 75.742211 410.102418
2025-03-09 0.915446 1.765713 3.640987 8.744579 25.392344 94.683430 630.466776
2025-03-16 0.830131 1.631091 3.443618 8.554626 26.126934 105.586493 829.246298
2025-03-23 0.766932 1.535877 3.322825 8.552262 27.566280 121.692264 1156.989285
2025-03-30 0.704592 1.434158 3.168729 8.411157 28.437022 136.046598 1554.414883
2025-04-06 0.666200 1.382097 3.130582 8.622071 30.893233 163.457485 2385.722390
2025-04-13 0.614488 1.292295 2.980066 8.430889 31.535446 180.155634 3206.997104
2025-04-20 0.600881 1.291659 3.066366 9.065826 36.438410 237.663951 6132.541088
2025-04-27 0.579039 1.267932 3.085458 9.476244 40.585297 298.988559 11254.063391
2025-05-04 0.560964 1.251221 3.121600 9.966715 45.603865 383.290451 22767.857464
2025-05-11 0.534122 1.208728 3.075618 10.129814 48.919813 459.697908 42113.422520